El murid latest posts. Who are you, Mr. El-Murid? Oil and Belarus
I don’t like something about this comrade El Murid, who is so actively interested in what is happening in Novorossiya, attached to Igor Strelkov by some obscure carriage. I think he considers himself his personal press secretary.
Today he suddenly announced a military coup in Novorossiya, thanks to which, in his opinion, “groups that have subordination lines to the FSB are removed from power.” For such an assumption alone, Strelkov should say goodbye to El Murid - and ask him not to call him again. But for some unknown reason, he trusts him. It must have been El Murid, or rather Anatoly El Murid, who was introduced to him by some serious person in power.
“Judging by the reports coming from Novorossiya, we can say that a quiet and, fortunately, bloodless, military coup took place. Lieutenant General Korsun was appointed Minister of Defense of Novorossiya, his deputy was Igor Bezler, who, according to unconfirmed information, was awarded the rank of major general. Groups, having subordination lines to the FSB, they were practically removed from command and they were harshly asked to come under the control of the military.
It is difficult to say exactly how this will affect the implementation of the Minsk agreements. At least for now. It is still difficult to understand the line of behavior of the new leadership. It seems that Moscow has decided to end democracy in the free republics and intensify their unification into one territory.
Apparently, Kyiv also does not really understand what is happening yet - there is information that yesterday and tonight there was a continuous sounding of what was happening through its contacts in Moscow.
Judging by the first statements of the new commander, his task will be to restore order in the commander’s free will. It seems that in the current circumstances, Igor Strelkov may have the final say - they believe him and will agree with his opinion on what is happening. However, for now, apparently, Strelkov himself is studying what is happening, since it is unclear who in Moscow is behind the coup. I think the situation will be determined in the near future. There are still too many unknowns in it. As with any coup.
In any case, the assumption that the people put in command after Strelkov will very quickly be replaced by others - completely controlled by Moscow and at the same time absolutely non-public - is confirmed. A month has passed - and strictly according to the laws of the genre, the second generation of leaders is packing up their things. Antyufeyev’s departure to Moscow was probably connected precisely with the fact that he was hinted at the need to do this as quickly as possible.”
“Regarding the events with incomprehensible movements of the commanders, Strelkov reported the following.
First. In Donetsk, according to him, everything is calm. He does not know who “Lieutenant General Korsun” is, who has been fighting since April. Therefore, he asks mid- and lower-level commanders not to pay attention to what senior commanders are sharing there, and to prepare for combat operations, which are inevitable anyway. After they begin, all disagreements and pulling the blanket over oneself will become insignificant.
Second. According to him, the coup that took place is not connected with Moscow. It is possible that there are some people whom the “signatories” are focusing on, but in general there is no special solution that will radically change the situation and alignments. We are talking about the independent actions of individual commanders of individual detachments, and the number of these detachments is clearly insufficient to bear the proud name of the “United Armed Forces.”
Third. Strelkov said that the incident does not and will not have any impact on the current supply of the detachments.
This concludes the censorship part of the conversation."
El Murid is a very strange fellow. Carefully hides any information about himself. On a userpic on LiveJournal, he actually posted a photo with his face wrapped in arafatka. Studied at Moscow Chemical Technology Institute. 65 year of birth. Expert at ITAR-TASS. This is not work at all. They don't pay for this.
In all the photographs he has a stern face, like a person who does not take jokes at all - usually people who have mental problems have a poor sense of humor. However, I am not hinting at anything. These are the photos, for example, posted on his Facebook page: 
Who is El Murid?
From 1991 to 2012 he was engaged in small business. This, of course, explains a lot. The character becomes bastard, yes.
Specializes in covering events in Arab countries, in particular the “color revolutions” and civil wars that began during the Arab Spring. In 2012, he mainly covered the situation in Syria, speaking from a neutral pro-Assad position.
In 2014, he covered the events of the Ukrainian crisis, supporting the militias under the command of Strelkov. I have no idea whether it was on his own initiative, or whether he was engaged by someone. Apparently, he received the go-ahead from the authorities. But he does the wrong thing. I don't like the way it works. I also don’t like his shaky position in relation to Russian statehood.
And in Novorossiya, if there was a coup with the removal of the wrong people from command, it means that a new one will happen soon.
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Best of all, she exposes the scum herself. Tolik Nesmiyan ("El-Murid") has gone so far as to be able to write an article: to the actual recognition of ISIS as a desirable party to the negotiations in Syria and thus, to the recognition of ISIS in general... The rest is in the note - his usual blah blah and attempt to seem “smart”....
Let's give him the floor for a political striptease:
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Original taken from el_murid
to Balagan
The terrorist attack in the form of a classic double bombing in Damascus killed 45 people. The timing of the terrorist attack was no less classically chosen - the negotiations in Geneva. This is a direct demonstration of the insignificance of any efforts at settlement: you can discuss what you want there, but it does not matter.
In this particular case, the number of victims matters. A “regular” terrorist attack serves to incite panic, so its goal is the very fact of the terrorist attack. Here, apparently, resonance was required - hence the number of victims.
In principle, ISIS (and apparently it was the Islamic State that took responsibility for the terrorist attack) in some sense only demonstrates the obvious. The idea of negotiations against the backdrop of an ongoing war without the total defeat of at least one of the opponents looks very unhealthy. Negotiations without such a defeat make sense when all parties are exhausted and come to the conclusion that it is impossible to achieve victory by military means, and therefore a truce is needed, which will allow them to gather strength - well, we’ll see. But this is not the case in Syria either, and for this reason any result of the negotiations will be fragile, if they lead to anything at all.
Only directly involved in the war in Syria four main forces - Assad, the Kurds, ISIS and "moderate" terrorists. Only two of them were allowed to participate in the negotiations.- and even the Kurds were not allowed to see them. At the same time, the Syrian war is only part of a large regional war, the second part of which is taking place in Iraq, plus there are up to a dozen external players around both conflicts (and in essence, this is one big conflict).
In such conditions, local negotiations do not make the slightest sense, and even more so, trying to pass them off as an attempt at some kind of settlement is even more absurd. The desire of politicians to demonstrate at least some results is understandable, but all this looks like some kind of cheap farce and not real politics. Moreover, it is a booth from all sides.
- November 20th, 2015 , 10:37 am
Reading “ultra-patriotic” blogs, one never ceases to be amazed at the brazen defeatist pathos of the “neo-Februaryists.” Any event in the world connected with Russia is immediately interpreted not only in the most unfavorable light for our country - no matter what, there is a promise of complete collapse and complete destruction.
The other day, some particularly stubborn “patriots” announced that Omana presented an ultimatum to Putin at the summit in Antalya. Here's what El-Murid wrote:
"The evening ceases to be languid
Information thatAlex Andreev told me , now almost verbatim - but with reference to his interlocutor -repeated by Victor Alksnis :
"...The other day I accidentally met one of my old acquaintances, who until recently worked selflessly on the Old Square. We talked about this and that, including politics. He mentioned that allegedly at the recent G20 meeting in Antalya, V. Putin An ultimatum was presented, the meaning of which is the following - the surrender of Donbass and the return of Crimea to Ukraine.
Moreover, the ultimatum was presented in a very harsh form.
So let's see if our leaders have enough political will?
If the surrender of Donbass threatens Putin with only reputational losses, then the situation with Crimea is much more serious. After all, according to the Constitution of the Russian Federation, it is a subject of the Russian Federation, which means the transfer of Russian territory to a foreign state can already be considered from the position of high treason..."
In principle, I didn’t have the slightest reason to doubt Alex’s words, it’s just that now I’m confident.”
http://el-murid.livejournal.com/2579734.html
There it is... An ultimatum! What does Alksnis write? And even worse:
()
- August 4th, 2015 , 07:38 pm
It’s no longer a secret to anyone what this Nesmiyan (El-Murid) is.
Like what there is no 16th Airborne Brigade from Orenburg.
So whose white ribbon puppet is Nesmiyan?
The masks have been dropped, and under them are wretched grant-eating snouts...
Original taken from alexandr_rogers Nesmiyan finally ended up in the Xperds
- May 1st, 2015 , 08:12 am
Original taken from el_murid in Peacemakers
A new meeting of the Normandy Four is due to take place in a week. The theme of peacemakers is heard again, and this time much more clearly. In any case, more specific information is now being disseminated than before:
"...The press service of Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko on Thursday, April 30, disseminated information according to which Russian President Vladimir Putin, during a telephone conversation in the Normandy format, admitted the possibility of deploying a peacekeeping mission in Donbass..."Peacekeepers are a slippery topic. The experience of using peacekeepers in the past can hardly be called very unambiguous, much less positive. In the former Yugoslavia, they openly played with one goal. Russian peacekeepers in Georgia, attacked by the Georgian army, became the reason for Russia to use its troops. Which, on the one hand, decided the outcome of events, but on the other, showed that it was possible to provoke an escalation of the conflict by provoking against the peacekeepers.
()
- September 14th, 2014 , 05:52 pm
It's disgusting, but worth reading. To understand the level of those who oppose us on the battlefield and, especially, beyond it.
Let me remind you that there is no point in evaluating such el-murids-nesmiyans in an “ideological” way: they simply WORK, make money, euros, bucks, pounds.
And nothing more. Being outraged by them is like being outraged by a lamppost.
But conclusions must be drawn.
Original taken from el_murid in Kievskie Izvestia
Today my friend “Alex” showed up (but by phone) and told me the latest news from Kyiv. A summary of his story:
There is a whole flock of representatives of Russian oligarchs sitting in Kyiv. Negotiations are underway. So far, representatives of large Russian banks with subsidiaries in Ukraine have achieved quite good success. In the near future, up to 50 Ukrainian banks may go under the knife. According to the standard scheme, the owners will be offered to carry out additional capitalization, those who cannot do this will be thrown overboard. At the same time, a completely different approach will be applied to large banks. By emphasizing their systemic nature, they will be flooded with government money, as in 2008. Owners will never have to worry. Russian subsidiaries also fall under this program. There is, however, a question regarding “Russian Standard” - it is not yet clear with him: whether he got into this pool of lucky ones.()
- August 28th, 2014 , 10:44 pm
It seems that the collapse of the punitive machine is becoming a reality. The Ukrainian Internet, social networks and Svidomo Twitter accounts exploded with all sorts of crap, with the hashtags #UkraineUnderAttak and #RussiaInvadesUkraine in full swing. Calls to make combat reposts raised the intensity of the struggle to an unprecedented level.
True, except for Ukraine, no one yet realizes that it is at war with Russia. Russia, it seems, too. However, it is necessary to somehow explain what is happening. It is absolutely impossible to admit that the valiant Sonderkommandos cannot do anything with the “vatniks”. Ubermensch cannot tolerate defeat from some subhumans.
()
- August 28th, 2014 , 03:01 pm
Original taken from el_murid in Rescue of drowning people
In the situation of the obvious collapse of the ATO administration and the disintegration of the punitive group into pockets of resistance, the governor of Dnepropetrovsk Kolomoisky, apparently, is beginning to take steps separate from Kyiv.
There are reports that today a certain Regional Defense Council will be held, which includes all the heads of the regional security forces, the regional and city military registration and enlistment offices, and the civilian heads of the administration. Apparently, at the end of the day, Kolomoisky hopes to gain some kind of autonomy, which will not only de facto, but also legally be separated from Kyiv due to “extraordinary circumstances.”()
- August 11th, 2014 , 06:19 pm
Anatoly Nesmiyan speaks out about his perception of Putin’s speech in Valdai.
Since Nesmiyan really has a sect on his blog - he allows comments only to carefully selected friends (he has a clear marker, everyone who leaves comments on him must be personally loyal to him) I decided to briefly tell you on my blog what I think about his text .
First of all, I decided to separate the flies from the cutlets from Murid.
The “flies” there are Anatoly’s emotional rantings. Cutlets are already the essence of what Murid writes about. 80% of his emotional rants about nothing turned out to be. There is nothing to comment on them and I will omit them. There is nothing to discuss there except the author’s emotional perception of Putin. This perception is Anatoly’s problem.
I also found “cutlets”. Anatoly tried to justify why he didn’t like it. Unlike Anatoly, my answer to him will not be based on water and emotions, but will go clearly point by point.
1) He didn’t like it that in the event of a nuclear attack on Russia, the aggressor must know that retaliation is inevitable, that he will be destroyed in the event of a nuclear attack on Russia
Murid writes:
- Putin was stuck somewhere seventy to a hundred years ago, when the war looked like the total destruction of the enemy. Modern threats look fundamentally different than they did 100-70 or even 50 years ago, and if you pour resources into a strategy that no longer works, then you simply squander them, especially in conditions when you have simply stolen a significant part of them.
Nuclear weapons still restrain the parties from an all-out war with conventional weapons. Therefore, the arsenal of possibilities remains either low-intensity conflicts, ala butting heads in Syria, or hybrid wars (inciting neighboring countries into conflict, sanctions, economic pressure).
Modern threats look TOO DIFFERENT. Everything cannot be reduced to hybrid wars. And Putin’s talk about nuclear deterrence is just one of the special cases of such a war. Sometimes it’s worth reminding that there are boundaries and if the enemy crosses them, we are ready and able to react
Murid can splash saliva or anything else as much as he wants, but the facts prove that he is wrong. And he can be as emotional as he wants.
Murid writes:
- Putin, waging two local wars, failed to demonstrate in them anything not only outstanding, but even worthy in terms of level
Well, firstly, I counted only one war - in Syria against terrorist groups.
Secondly, is the task completed? Not completely, but more than enough - the remnants of the militants have been eliminated either in Idlib or around the American An-Tanaf base. The Syrian authorities are already able to finish off terrorist groups themselves.
Russia came at a time when Damascus was ready to fall at the feet of the winner - international terrorism, behind which stood more senior curators and financiers.
What are we seeing now? Damascus' power has been restored over the vast majority of the country. Yes, by agreement with the Turks, the north was under their control, the Americans took the Kurds under their patronage. But:
A) there is no longer a threat to the country's statehood - the armed forces have been restored;
b) The integral territoriality of the country was restored - Aleppo and Palmyra were liberated, the long-term siege of Deir ez-Zor was unblocked (despite the assistance of American aviation to ISIS terrorists), numerous areas and pockets under the control of militants were liberated. Their remains were taken to the Idlib Zoo, where these spiders are trying to sort things out among themselves:
V) Syrian citizens are largely protected from terrorist attacks. Compared to what it was, the threats have decreased by 2-3 orders of magnitude.
G) Syrian air defense has been established, albeit creakingly, and is now capable of fighting air threats even without the help of the Russians. But the Russians will still stand nearby.
End of 2015
In Syria, Russia also decided on its geopolitical interests:
A) supported an important ally
b) most importantly, Russia prevented the spread of terrorism beyond Syria. Radicals, after victory in the country, would look for new areas of application of their activities. And first of all, it would be the southern regions of Russia and the Central Asian republics in the underbelly of Russia, and secondly, a wave of attacks and terrorist attacks would begin in large cities of Russia. All this was stopped there in Syria
V) Russia has tested many modern types of weapons.
- for the Americans, the power of Russian electronic warfare, “Caliber”, turned out to be a complete revelation;
- the Su-35 underwent its first combat use, strategic aviation underwent its first combat use, Russian aviation held the American F-22 in its sights, almost the entire Aerospace Forces personnel underwent “break-in” through Syria;
- the fleet received such “exercises” that in practice they would not have been able to organize in simple life;
- new and promising (including robotic) weapons systems have been tested in real combat conditions. The use of modern technology in combat conditions showed in which direction it should be improved;
- the Russian armed forces have worked out the issues of target designation and target destruction in practice and in “stress mode”,
- combat tactics of fighter, attack, and army aviation have been improved;
- in practice (albeit standing on the sidelines) they studied methods of countering American massive missile attacks. The conflict in Syria has shown how and in which direction Russia should improve its air defense system and electronic warfare systems;
G) Russia has gained a foothold in this most important region of the world - the entire Middle East and the Eastern Mediterranean are nearby. They are firmly attached and can no longer be knocked out. And this will force the enemy to take the Russian state seriously on a huge range of geopolitical issues.
2) Murid didn’t like the words
Murid writes:
- Putin wisely did not mention who is preventing the Putin regime from instilling what is reasonable, good, and eternal.
And this is the first case of mass murder in a Russian school in decades.
Before this, there were attacks by teenagers with knives or axes. And one attack was with a firearm - in February 2014, a 10th grade student at school No. 263 in the Otradnoe district (Moscow) shot his teacher. The victims were limited to this.
Since there is no mass scale, it means that these processes can be restrained. Despite the presence of inadequacies that exist in ANY society.
But of course, we cannot be complacent and stop keeping our finger on the pulse. It is worth drawing conclusions from each case. The latest case speaks to the need to tighten the issuance of permits for firearms, especially in 18. You say - they issue them in the army? But the army is not the case. Moreover, a soldier will never go to school to shoot. And in civilian life, the minimum age at which you can purchase firearms and ammunition should be 21 years old.
And I’ll summarize a little about Anatoly.
I’ve been following his blog for how many years, but his analytics, forecasts and reflections have NEVER come true (if I missed something, correct me and give me a link). Although even according to the theory of probability, he should be “in the weather forecast” at least once, but this does not work out either.
The only thing in which he has at least slightly succeeded is in the insights that he sometimes obtains (I assume - probably thanks to his knowledge of the Arabic language) on public pages, forms and tweets of militants. No more. No, this work is also important, of course, but El-Murid has no other achievements. And even more so, you should not rely on his emotions, forecasts and so-called analytics. It never comes true.
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One of the main defenders in the Russian network of “saint Strelkov” and “righteous Borodai” from the “ungodly sect of Kurginyan’s supporters.” What's your impression? Well, something like this:
In general, I sat “like in Turkey”...
With a "creative heritage" el_murid Everything has been clear to everyone for a long time. We all swam there - we know. One of the few biographical information about the client states:
He was repeatedly caught publishing analytical materials copied from a number of popular sites and passing them off as “author’s”.
This is absolutely true. An example of this type of plagiarism is usually the material about Yemen, which was once located at this address (now deleted):
http://el-murid.livejournal.com/256334.html
The original can be viewed here:
http://obsrvr.livejournal.com/1240254.html
Apparently, for this reason, the archive of our client’s blog was thoroughly cleaned and all posts written before 2012 were completely removed from it. There is nothing to compare with. Therefore, the factual basis for convicting a famous blogger of plagiarism and ideological unscrupulousness is completely absent today.
Well, what can I say? Well done!
Concluding a very brief overview of the “creative heritage” el_murid , I note that the strongest gag reflex in me was caused by public showdowns el_murid and his wife ani_al with another equally famous blogger putnik1 regarding the kidnapping of famous journalist Ankhar Kochneva in Syria anhar .
Well, creativity is creativity, but the peculiarities of El-Murid’s biography caused me the greatest bewilderment. We all remember well that for quite a long time even the name of this Internet character was made into a riddle. Two very scanty and wretched biographical information about him that appeared on Wikipedia were quickly and decisively removed.
But you and I remember well that manuscripts don’t burn, especially on the Internet. I managed to find both of these certificates - they were carefully preserved by El-Murid’s “well-wishers”:
Salman Bulgarsky (real name - Airat Vakhitov) was born on January 4, 1980. He studied at the Wahhabi madrasah "Yoldyz" (Tatarstan), worked as an imam at the Naberezhnye Chelny mosque "Tauba". In 1999-2001 was on the territory of Afghanistan, fought in the ranks of the Bulgarian Jamaat (an association of Wahhabis from the Volga region) as part of the Taliban troops. In 2002-2003 was in the American prison at Guantanamo Bay (Cuba). In 2004, upon his return to Russia, he continued to conduct propaganda for the construction of a caliphate through the Internet, posting his video sermons (these years were the era of mass accessibility of the Internet). In 2005, he took part in a terrorist attack on a gas pipeline in Bugulma (a city in the southeast of Tatarstan). Later he leaves for Afghanistan. Since 2011, he has been in Syria in the ranks of the “Tatar Brigade” (“Kataib Muhajirin”), which is a Wahhabi gang fighting against the legitimate government of Bashar al-Assad. The main recruiter of volunteers via the Internet from Tatarstan for “jihad” in Syria.
After getting acquainted with all these materials, Murid’s hidden support for Islamist militants in Syria is no longer surprising.
What's the end result? As a result, due to the carefully cultivated image of a modest Russian intellectual in an intellectual sweater and glasses, the image of a terry propagandist closely associated with Islamist, Vlasov and Nazi circles clearly emerges.
P.S. In response to this post, citizen Nesmiyan burst out with a very lengthy and rather nervous comment (see in the comments). My response to El-Murid contains several important clarifications to the main text, so I quote it here:
Anatoly, remember from Pushkin:
"Pleasantly impudent epigram
Enrage a mistaken enemy;
It's nice to see how stubborn he is
Bowing my eager horns,
Involuntarily looks in the mirror
And he is ashamed to recognize himself;
It’s more pleasant if he, friends,
He will howl foolishly: it’s me!”
I never expected to see you in the role of this character in front of the mirror. And where else? In my LiveJournal...
You write: “I repeat, I do not deliberately believe and do not intend to refute anything or anyone.”
Why then did you come to the LiveJournal of an unknown blogger? Why did you devote a rather large text of your commentary almost entirely to refuting some facts of your biography that are not mentioned at all in my text?
This means that something in my text really caught your attention, and you are now trying to divert the attention of readers from this (the main thing) to petty squabbles and gossip.
You know, I am deeply indifferent to the circumstances of your personal life, the number of your wives and children, how many times you have been tried and what you eat for dinner. I am deeply disgusted by the showdown between your family and Vershinin. My post is not about this at all, and you understood this perfectly.
The main thing is your position on Libya (but they have already written a lot about it in detail without me, and there are no texts about the war in Libya for 2011 in the archive of your LiveJournal). The main thing is your unclear position on Syria (you chose not to notice the link to its analysis). The main thing is my questions about your trip to Donetsk (which I asked based on the content of your interview). And I’m not at all interested in what you stole there and how you were pinched for it. I, and many other LJ readers, are interested in who and how this trip was organized (in modern times, this is a whole special operation) and why Mr. Girkin (Strelkov) communicated with you so confidentially? It would also be interesting to know (you talk about this in the interview) how Strelkov’s people organized a meeting for you with an officer of the Ukrainian army fighting against the DPR. In war conditions, this strongly smacks of betrayal...
But you haven’t said anything about all this and I don’t think you will say anything – these are not topics that are convenient for you. Instead, you chose to discuss watered-down beer, which I didn't say anything about at all.
And one last thing. You have no reason to accuse me of lying - for any information given in the post, I give, unlike you, by the way, a link to the source. You yourself write: “This is my personal blog. If I want, I’ll look for the cats, if I want, I’ll express different thoughts.” So I wanted to refer to some information published by Vershinin. This particular information seemed very plausible to me. I’m gullible (what can you do) - sometimes I believe people.
There are reports with an unknown degree of reliability that the United States has warned Russia of a 48-hour readiness to strike the Assad regime. The Russian military in Syria has already received orders to be ready for attacks. While the degree of reliability and, most importantly, the level of risk remain unknown, it is at least possible that we now know about the timing.Extremely short. Sooner or later, we will be beaten in Syria. I have written about this on this page more than once or twice. And they will certainly beat you (the balance of forces in the air and at sea, which is decisive, is catastrophically not in favor of the Russian Aerospace Forces). Will it be in 48 hours? - Don't know. But the information that a large strike group of the US Navy is entering positions in the western Indian Ocean is not a secret and is being discussed in a professional environment. And the US Air Force group (significantly larger than ours in this region) is already in place - at numerous bases in Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, Saudi Arabia.
The fact that we are threatened by “Tsushima” in Syria and “Mukden” in Donbass is an indisputable fact. They can probably still be avoided. But a “big” (not yet a world, but a regional) war is already inevitable, and unrest too.
But I won’t predict exactly how and when events will develop. I have also described the options many times - if you are not too lazy, scroll down the page a few months ago. Maybe everything will happen very soon. Maybe not. Much depends on how the Kremlin behaves. He may surrender without a fight (in whole or in part).
- March 6th, 2018 , 10:52 am
My comment:
If Grudinin is removed from the elections, it will be mega-stupidity on the part of the Kremlin gnomes (however, for their nano-brains everything is possible...). I completely agree with Nesmiyan that Pavel Nikolayevich did not create any problems for the “one and only candidate” - his criticism of the “regime” was so toothless and inarticulate that it is very difficult to call him an “oppositionist.” It turned out that Grudinin is “not a fighter” - he performed much worse than any (including my) expectations.
However, in the Kremlin and on Old Square they have already become so divorced from reality that they themselves take the simulacrum they themselves created for a real threat. At least that's what my own sources say.
Plus: Pavel Nikolaevich, the candidate, is a “product” of one of the segments of the “Kremlin politicum” (probably his “Kirienko” clan). And there are several more competing ones - including the most influential “Surkov” and “Volodin” (as well as “Gromov” and others) factions. All of them are in a state of incessant squabbling with each other, and one of the competing factions, solving their own selfish and intriguing problems, is quite capable of lobbying (intimidating Nanogeny with the specter of the “Grudinin Maidan”) for such a senile reaction.
In general, we'll see. In any case, this election is a farce. Therefore, if the degree of insanity changes from “for feeble-minded neurasthenics under 16 years of age” to “for clinical idiots over 80”, little will change.
More invoices were found on Grudinin , on Wednesday the Central Election Commission may consider removing him from the race. Or maybe the issue will be referred to the Supreme Court.
At the same time, there are two forecasts for turnout - 70% and 45%. The first forecast is given by the official, the second - informal. In general, even with these completely administrated elections, there are serious differences in the assessment of their future results - real and imagined. As for the real ones, the situation is extremely deplorable - both in terms of turnout and in terms of the expression of popular love. You will have to draw a lot, and this is already clear. So much so that large cities are hastily purchasing equipment to disperse demonstrations. Eight regions have been named where special equipment is purchased on an urgent basis: St. Petersburg, Rostov, Samara, Sverdlovsk, Moscow, Novosibirsk, Irkutsk region and Khabarovsk region. These same regions have the highest percentages of distrust in government. Moscow and St. Petersburg are the leaders in the number of those unwilling to take part in the elections - less than 40% are predicted; in reality, a collapse of even under 20% is possible.
There is no doubt about the officially announced result - this is not what everything was started for, but a certain nervousness is already felt. Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov and Senator Kosachev have already warned today that Washington is weaving its own networks and is preparing to take advantage of popular rejoicing in order to destabilize the situation in the country. Apparently, the authorities have no illusions about people's love, but so much the worse for this very love.
It is difficult to say what the removal of Grudinin from the race will do in such a situation. In reality, it no longer gives much. Frankly speaking, Grudinin failed his campaign - and the problem here is not even in the authorities that are putting obstacles in his way, but in the very inexpressiveness of his campaign, despite quite decent interest in it at the very beginning. The reason for the failure is generally clear: Grudinin is going to the elections with a technical program that does not in any way affect the essence of the mafia government of the country. In addition, it is already obvious that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation actually sabotaged his campaign, not even being enthusiastic about a possible victory, but about the fact of creating problems for the Main Candidate. The functionaries of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation are comfortably built into the current vertical, they do not want to change anything at all, they are satisfied with everything. Creating excitement and uncertainty (not to mention victory) for them means extremely unpleasant consequences - the authorities may reconsider their attitude towards the party that has privatized the left-wing electorate, and decide that it would be safer to transfer it to a more systemic and more loyal one.
The paradox of the ongoing election process lies in the fact that, in general, fatigue with Putin is more than noticeable even among his “nuclear” electorate, but the space that has been cleared to death does not give them any other alternative.
This, by the way, is a completely man-made creation of the preconditions for an explosion, and it is created by the government itself. The indifference and detachment of people from the electoral process can no longer be hidden, which means that elections do not give the effect that is required of them: they cease to be a valve where the steam goes into the whistle. This means that the pressure in the boiler will increase. You can antagonize him, but only through extraordinary measures. This is why special equipment is imported for acceleration. The problem will be solved for a while, that's a fact. But this is a targeted and, most importantly, non-systemic solution, and it will have to be repeated more and more often.
- February 14th, 2018 , 03:29 pm
This, I emphasize, is the OPINION of “El-Murid”.
Yes, this scenario will quite suit that part of the Kremlin riffraff that “sleeps and sees” to quickly make peace with “dear Western partners” at any cost. Counting on leniency and amnesty for himself personally (and his capital).
But there are other people who understand that the deployment of “peacekeepers” to the Donbass (the Swedish military has never been to the Donbass before, by the way - even Charles the 12th only reached Poltava) is a prologue to the next stage - the surrender of Crimea. And further on the way to The Hague. I hope they still persist. Not for the sake of the Motherland (they didn’t care about it), but for the sake of their loved ones. Well, our allies will come to us with such motivation... as long as they don’t become petrified in their cowardice... and don’t fall into insanity, like Nanogenius.
The situation in Syria and the plane crash in the Moscow region were less noticeably followed by news regarding the substantive details of the agreements on Donbass.
In September, as you know, Putin backed down from the position he had expressed literally two weeks earlier that there were peacekeepers in Donbass, yes, but only along the line of contact. Then the position was transformed to “throughout the entire territory.” Naturally, propaganda began to claim that this was one of the shining facets of the “Cunning Plan” diamond; in fact, the Leader was brilliantly leading his partners by the nose.
However, the outlines of an agreement on peacekeepers are already emerging. A proposal arose, which within a day after its publication in the Russian press no one disowned or called it the enemy’s machinations. The essence of the proposal: 20 thousand peacekeepers and 4 thousand police officers should be deployed to the Donbass, the mission will be led by Sweden. The option of 50 thousand military personnel was abandoned, since Russia may not agree.
In any format, 20 thousand military personnel is not on the line of contact; there are too many of them for that. But throughout the entire territory plus the border - just right. Plus 4 thousand police officers (by the way, what laws will these international law enforcement officers enforce? Certainly not the internal legislation of the DPR-LPR).
The decision has not been made yet, but its format is clear - the mandate will be issued by the UN Security Council. Ukraine was specifically warned not to introduce a competing resolution.
Apparently, Russia will resist for the sake of order and, perhaps, even fail the first version of the resolution simply out of principle. But overall the reaction is more than favorable. True, it is not entirely clear who exactly will symbolize this process with their name. They are talking about Yavlinsky, which is quite promising: the person’s reputation is such that one more, one less - there is no difference. And he will seize the glory of the traitor of Donbass both from the current curator of the situation and from the president himself. Who is unlikely to be happy to associate his name with such a dubious event.
But this is not the most important question. The main thing here, perhaps, is that the process opens up to a discussion of the technical details of execution. Which brings us closer to the final date of the process that began in early May 2014, when Putin set a course for betrayal.
- January 25th, 2018 , 12:35 pm
I recommend checking it out. And, yes, if anyone comments on Biden’s words in some way like: “Myuridka is whining again,” then let him blame himself.
And, “yes,” I take this opportunity to say hello to Nanogeny and his advisors - their “dear American partners” are telling the truth. It's unfortunate.
El Murid. "Biden on Russia"
The Russian press paid attention to former US Vice President Biden's speech at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington, covering his story about how he forced the removal of the former prosecutor general of Ukraine. Ordering bad news “from others” in our media is quite objective: against the backdrop of such news, it is assumed that our situation will not seem so bleak. If we cannot cheer up our electorate with good news from us, let them have bad news.
True, in Biden’s speech, our media passed over in silence other topics that he touched on, including his assessment of Russia itself. In particular, the following was said there:
"Russia is now in a colossal decline. They quickly slide down the inclined plane. The only question is when they will reach the finish line,” former US Vice President Joe Biden said at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington.
Naturally, one can always say that this is the opinion of a pensioner and a downed pilot, but a reasonable question arises: why then do we need to know his opinion on Ukraine?Biden, of course, is a rather tough opponent of Russia as such, and did not particularly hide this either when he was vice president or now. His supervision of post-Maidan Ukraine was aimed precisely at creating a cordon sanitaire around Russia, and naturally, he is an interested and biased person. However, his assessment does not stand out too much from others of the same kind. Yes, Russia is now in a colossal decline and yes, it is sliding downhill, if that is what you can call a chronic crisis at a systemic stage, in which we have been for many years. And the question Biden asks: “when will they reach the finish line” looks absolutely logical: any fall ends with hitting the ground. When and with what force is the main question that worries everyone: both outside Russia and inside it.
The West already has experience with the collapse of the USSR, so it has certain experience on how to cope with an impending catastrophe of a smaller scale, but now the situation looks somewhat different than in 1991: then the global agenda was determined by the confrontation between the USSR and the USA, and the consequences of the collapse of the USSR were dealt with by the USA almost single-handedly. Now the global agenda is dictated by the interests of China and a number of other countries that are of lesser importance, but bring their own disturbances to any plans. Well, and besides, there are now non-systemic factors, without which it is impossible to build models: in particular, the radical Islamic factor. It is clear that all this creates challenges for the United States, which is why they are interested in the question of “when” and “how” in relation to the catastrophe into which Putin is stubbornly pushing Russia.
It is generally accepted that sanctions and repressions against the Russian elite are attempts by the United States and the West to push Russia towards collapse and disaster. Such an external systemic factor of the future shift. Perhaps (and most likely) this is so. However, in many ways, the actions of the West and the United States are dictated by an attempt to create not just a catastrophe in Russia, but a controlled catastrophe, with a relatively predictable course for them and a roughly understandable ending.
The states are not really hiding the fact that they are preparing and preparing for such a catastrophe. The outlines of the preparations are roughly known: in economics they intend to finish off the last living industry of Putin’s Russia - raw materials; in politics - to dismantle Putin’s vertical and forcibly create an active opposition to the regime, to select a part of it that will take over both the process of shift and the process of transformation. In this sense, Ukraine is a good testing ground for the United States for managing the collaborationist elite in the post-Soviet space. Therefore, Biden’s opinion, even though he is a pensioner, is quite significant: it was he who fine-tuned the mechanisms of such management, and he understands how to stand at attention all these thieves and bandits who will inherit them after the collapse of the Putin regime.
Only a non-systemic internal factor that is not included in today’s calculations and models can break the American scenarios. A factor that Americans do not take into account and which they have not previously encountered. Another question is whether it will be able to emerge and become significant when the United States begins to transform post-Putin Russia. It is not visible yet, so Biden can give his forecasts with a fair degree of confidence.
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